Better Decisions,
Better Odds
Hockey success is built in two places, the front office and on the ice. PuckTheory covers both: cap management, trades, and roster construction alongside shot data, zone trends, and the in-game numbers that reveal what's actually working.
Recent Updates
- New Article Which NHL Teams Are Getting the Most Out of Their Cap Space? (2025-26)
- Tool Update Goaltender contracts and predictions added to Contract Predictor tool. Updated player predictions as well. Model version 1.1.0.
- New Tool Contract Predictor launched. Predict any NHL skater's market-rate AAV and term using a machine learning model trained on ~3,000 contracts.
- Data Update Shot Heatmap and Goaltender Database updated with full 2025-26 season data
- New Article The Economics of Goaltender Contracts Are Broken
- New Tool Goaltender Database launched. Browse GSAx, GAA, and workload for every NHL goalie
Latest Posts
Which NHL Teams Are Getting the Most Out of Their Cap Space? (2025-26)
A data-driven ranking of all 32 NHL teams by contract surplus value: What each team is paying their players vs. How those players actually performed in 2025-26.
The Economics of Goaltender Contracts Are Broken
A data-driven breakdown of how NHL teams misprice goaltender contracts, what the numbers say you actually get for your money, and a framework for building the position.
The NHL Is Taking Fewer Shots, And Scoring More
Over the last six seasons, teams have quietly stopped caring about shot volume. Here's what the data says about the league-wide shift toward shot quality over quantity.